Negative Carbon Leakage : evidence from South Asian Countries ,Policy Brief No. 102-16

By : Surender Kumar , Prerna Prabhakar

The growth rate of carbon-intensive exports from India, Pakistan and Sri Lanka to countries that have ratified the Kyoto protocol (in relation to exports to non-ratifying
countries) fell by a factor of 0.37 between 2000 and 2012. Concerns that the Kyoto Protocol may drive the growth of carbon-intensive exports from South Asian countries could therefore be overstated and should not be used to shape the development of climate and trade policies. Instead, research should be undertaken to see why the Protocol is affecting exports in the way it is. This would allow policy makers to build upon current positive trends.

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